Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos Laguna win with a probability of 57.9%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Queretaro had a probability of 18.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos Laguna win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.89%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.05%), while for a Queretaro win it was 0-1 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santos Laguna would win this match.