Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos Laguna win with a probability of 57.09%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Juarez had a probability of 18.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos Laguna win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.44%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.42%), while for a Juarez win it was 0-1 (6.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santos Laguna would win this match.