Friendlies 3

Oct 17, 2023 at 5pm UK

Stad al-Bahrayn al-Watanī

Bahrain
1 - 0
Philippines

Al Khatal (16')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Data Analysis

Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 3 clash between Bahrain and Philippines.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bahrain

Last Game: Bahrain 2-0 Kyrgyzstan
Thursday, October 12 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Philippines

Last Game: Kyrgyzstan 0-1 Philippines
Sunday, October 15 at 8am in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahrain win with a probability of 61.41%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Philippines had a probability of 15.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahrain win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.57%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a Philippines win it was 0-1 (6.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bahrain in this match.

Result
Bahrain	Draw	Philippines
61.41% ( -0.62)	23.01% ( 0.35)	15.58% ( 0.27)

Both teams to score 43.67% (

-0.39)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.79% (

-0.86)

54.2% (

0.86)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.39% (

-0.72)

75.61% (

0.72)

Bahrain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.73% (

-0.52)

17.27% (

0.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.4% (

-0.92)

47.6% (

0.92)

Philippines Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.79% (

-0.14)

47.2% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.36% (

-0.11)

82.64% (

0.11)

Score Analysis

Bahrain 61.4%

Philippines 15.58%

Draw 23%

Bahrain	Draw	Philippines
1-0 @ 14.31% ( 0.23) 2-0 @ 12.57% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.44% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 7.36% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 5.53% ( -0.12) 4-0 @ 3.23% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 2.43% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.42% Total : 61.4%	1-1 @ 10.74% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 8.15% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 3.54% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.56% Total : 23%	0-1 @ 6.12% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 4.03% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 2.3% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 2.12% Total : 15.58%