Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 57.45%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for OFI Crete had a probability of 19.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.56%) and 1-2 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for a OFI Crete win it was 1-0 (6.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Olympiacos would win this match.