Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Asteras Tripolis win with a probability of 51.45%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Atromitos had a probability of 20.53%.
The most likely scoreline for an Asteras Tripolis win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.25%) and 2-1 (8.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.34%), while for an Atromitos win it was 0-1 (9.07%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Asteras Tripolis would win this match.