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Midtjylland
Europa League | Group Stage
Nov 25, 2021 at 5.45pm UK
MCH Arena
Braga

Midtjylland
3 - 2
Braga

Sviatchenko (2'), Isaksen (48'), Evander (90+3' pen.)
Isaksen (52'), Onyedika (64'), Evander (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Horta (43'), Galeno (85')
Castro (21'), Moura (80'), Galeno (86')

Preview: FC Midtjylland vs. Braga - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between FC Midtjylland and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Braga will travel to Denmark to face FC Midtjylland at the MCH Arena in the penultimate round of Europa League group games on Thursday evening.

The visitors currently sit top of Group F on nine points, whilst their hosts are four points behind in third but still have a good chance of qualifying for the knockout rounds.


Match preview

FC Midtjylland's Evander celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on September 30, 2021© Reuters

After last year's unsuccessful appearance in the Champions League group stages, Midtjylland will be determined to progress in this season's Europa League.

The Danish side were minnows in a group containing six-time European Cup winners Liverpool, Ajax and Atalanta, and unsurprisingly managed just two points, leaving them bottom of the group and without the consolation prize of a spot in the Europa League.

They qualified for the competition this year, after falling at the third qualifying round for the Champions League, but picked up just two points from their opening three games.

Their prospects within the group changed after their most recent game, however, thanks to a crucial 1-0 win away at Red Star Belgrade - a Guelor Kanga own goal in the 56th minute proving to be the difference.

That leaves Midtjylland just two points behind the Serbian team with two games remaining and with everything to play for, but they will likely have to earn something against the group leaders to stay in touch.

Braga's Ricardo Horta celebrates scoring their second goal with teammates on September 30, 2021© Reuters

Braga got their Europa League campaign off to a poor start with a 2-1 loss to Red Star back in September, a costly mistake at the back seeing Aleksandar Katai hold his nerve to net a match-winning penalty with five minutes remaining.

They put that behind them, though, and have won their last three games in the competition to move to the top of Group F.

Back-to-back wins over group underdogs Ludogorets followed a 3-1 home win against Midtjylland, where second-half goals from Galeno and Ricardo Horta overturned an initial one-goal deficit.

Carlos Carvalhal will know that a repeat of that result will see his team well-positioned to secure the automatic qualification spot and guaranteed the minimum of a playoff.

The manager will hope that his men can produce a performance more like the one from their 6-0 win over Santa Clara at the weekend than their 6-1 loss to Benfica the other side of the international break in order to so.

FC Midtjylland Europa League form:
  • D
  • L
  • D
  • W

FC Midtjylland form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • L

Braga Europa League form:
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • W

Braga form (all competitions):
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • W



Team News

Jonas Lossl warms up for Huddersfield Town on December 22, 2018© Reuters

Former Huddersfield keeper Jonas Lossl surprisingly got the nod in goal last time out in the Europa League for Midtjylland and staked his claim for the number one spot with his side's first clean sheet in the competition.

Head coach Bo Henriksen tends to play a 3-4-3 formation and his backline looks set to consist of Henrik Dalsgaard, Erik Sviatchenko and Juninho, with Paulinho another option at centre-back but more likely to line up in the left wing-back slot.

Raphael Onyedika is one booking away from suspension and the midfielder will have to be careful to avoid missing a potentially-crucial final game.

Whilst the hosts are injury-free, there are a couple for Braga to deal with as David Carmo and Nuno Sequeira remain out.

Diogo Leite and Al Musrati are also one booking away from a one-match ban but, whilst Carvalhal will be keen to ensure they are available for the final game against Red Star, we expect the pair to start here.

FC Midtjylland possible starting lineup:
Lossl; Dalsgaard, Sviatchenko, Juninho; Andersson, Evander, Onyedika, Paulinho; Isaksen, Sisto, Brumado

Braga possible starting lineup:
Matheus; Tormena, Oliveira, Leite; Fabiano, Castro, Musrati, Galeno; Piazon, Ruiz, Horta


SM words green background

We say: FC Midtjylland 1-2 Braga

Whilst Midtjylland produced that impressive 1-0 win in their previous European game, they have lost their last two matches in the Danish Superliga - hardly ideal preparations for this important encounter.

We expect Braga to build on the confidence they will have gained from their big victory at the weekend and overcome the hosts' home advantage to secure a narrow win.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Midtjylland win with a probability of 44.12%. A win for Braga had a probability of 32.9% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Midtjylland win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.77%) and 2-0 (5.97%). The likeliest Braga win was 1-2 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Midtjylland would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Midtjylland vs Braga

FC Midtjylland
30.1%
Draw
19.9%
Braga
50.0%
166
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