MX23RW : Sunday, November 24 04:59:48| >> :600:3577262:3577262:
Bulgaria national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 16, 2023 at 5pm UK
Ludogorets Arena
Hungary national football team

Bulgaria
2 - 2
Hungary

Delev (24'), Despodov (78' pen.)
Antov (8'), Atanasov (81'), Kolev (86')
Antov (36')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Adam (10'), Petkov (90+7' og.)
Botka (42'), Kerkez (44')
Kerkez (57')

The Match

Match Report

Hungary score a last-gasp equaliser against Bulgaria to seal a 2-2 draw which books their place at Euro 2024.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Bulgaria and Hungary, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Albania 2-0 Bulgaria
Tuesday, October 17 at 5pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Lithuania 2-2 Hungary
Tuesday, October 17 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hungary win with a probability of 48.83%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Bulgaria had a probability of 24.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hungary win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.48%) and 1-2 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a Bulgaria win it was 1-0 (8.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
BulgariaDrawHungary
24.77% (-0.012 -0.01) 26.4% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02) 48.83% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Both teams to score 47.53% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.77% (0.052 0.05)56.23% (-0.055 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.72% (0.041 0.04)77.27% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Bulgaria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.79% (0.017999999999994 0.02)38.21% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.03% (0.016999999999999 0.02)74.97% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Hungary Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.92% (0.031999999999996 0.03)23.08% (-0.035999999999998 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.08% (0.049000000000007 0.05)56.92% (-0.052 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Bulgaria 24.77%
    Hungary 48.82%
    Draw 26.39%
BulgariaDrawHungary
1-0 @ 8.48% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-1 @ 5.98% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 4.08% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 1.92% (0.0010000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.41% (0.002 0)
3-0 @ 1.31%
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 24.77%
1-1 @ 12.43% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.82% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.39% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 26.39%
0-1 @ 12.92% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 9.48%
1-2 @ 9.12% (0.004999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 4.63% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 4.46% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.14% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 1.7% (0.0029999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1.63% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 48.82%

How you voted: Bulgaria vs Hungary

Bulgaria
15.4%
Draw
15.4%
Hungary
69.2%
78
Head to Head
Mar 27, 2023 7.45pm
Group Stage
Hungary
3-0
Bulgaria
Vecsei (7'), Szoboszlai (26'), Adam (39')
Oct 8, 2020 7.45pm
Playoff Semi-Finals Route A
Bulgaria
1-3
Hungary
Yomov (89')
Orban (17'), Kalmar (47'), Nikolic (75')
Lang (55'), Gazdag (88')
rhs 2.0
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