Europa League | Third Qualifying Round
Sep 24, 2020 at 7.30pm UK
St. Jakob-Park
Basel3 - 2Anorthosis
Widmer (4'), Campo (12'), Hambardzumyan (21' og.)
Widmer (18'), Alderete (27'), Vonmoos (61'), Padula (66'), Nikolic (86')
Vonmoos (88')
Widmer (18'), Alderete (27'), Vonmoos (61'), Padula (66'), Nikolic (86')
Vonmoos (88')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Vrgoc (45'), Kvilitaia (66' pen.)
Okriashvili (33'), Hambardzumyan (67'), Kvilitaia (84')
Okriashvili (50')
Okriashvili (33'), Hambardzumyan (67'), Kvilitaia (84')
Okriashvili (50')
Coverage of the Europa League Third Qualifying Round clash between Basel and Anorthosis Famagusta.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 68.02%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Anorthosis Famagusta had a probability of 11.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.69%) and 3-0 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.47%), while for an Anorthosis Famagusta win it was 0-1 (5.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Basel would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Basel | Draw | Anorthosis Famagusta |
| 68.02% | 20.81% | 11.18% |
| Both teams to score 38.64% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
