Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 45.22%. A win for Lillestrom had a probability of 29.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.2%) and 0-2 (7.66%). The likeliest Lillestrom win was 1-0 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.