![Penarol Penarol](https://sm.imgix.net/23/29/penlog_1.png?w=60&h=60&auto=compress,format&fit=clip)
Copa Sudamericana | First Round
Apr 14, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Campeón del Siglo
![Cerro Largo logo Cerro Largo logo](https://sm.imgix.net/23/18/cerlog.png?w=60&h=60&auto=compress,format&fit=clip)
Penarol4 - 1Cerro Largo
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Penarol and Cerro Largo.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 54.24%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 22.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.21%), while for a Cerro Largo win it was 0-1 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.
Result | ||
Penarol | Draw | Cerro Largo |
54.24% | 23.62% | 22.14% |
Both teams to score 52.87% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.26% | 47.74% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.07% | 69.93% |
Penarol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.5% | 17.5% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.99% | 48.01% |
Cerro Largo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.08% | 35.92% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.31% | 72.7% |
Score Analysis |
Penarol 54.23%
Cerro Largo 22.14%
Draw 23.61%
Penarol | Draw | Cerro Largo |
1-0 @ 10.95% 2-1 @ 9.78% 2-0 @ 9.55% 3-1 @ 5.68% 3-0 @ 5.55% 3-2 @ 2.91% 4-1 @ 2.48% 4-0 @ 2.42% 4-2 @ 1.27% Other @ 3.66% Total : 54.23% | 1-1 @ 11.21% 0-0 @ 6.29% 2-2 @ 5.01% 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.61% | 0-1 @ 6.44% 1-2 @ 5.74% 0-2 @ 3.3% 1-3 @ 1.96% 2-3 @ 1.71% 0-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.87% Total : 22.14% |
Head to Head
Apr 7, 2021 1.30am
First Round
Cerro Largo
2-2
Penarol
Baez (38'), Nunez (45+4'), Brasil (59'), Ezequiel Machado Ferrando (79')
Feb 17, 2021 10.30pm
Aug 28, 2020 12.15am
Dec 5, 2019 11.30pm
Penarol
2-1
Cerro Largo
Dorrego (53')
Acosta (30'), Heredia (60'), Assis (78')
Acosta (30'), Heredia (60'), Assis (78')
Jun 2, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 15
Cerro Largo
1-0
Penarol
Sosa (8')
Gravi (74'), Aguerre (76'), Quintana (80')
Gravi (74'), Aguerre (76'), Quintana (80')
Viatri (46'), Pereira (76')
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-28 05:36:35
Saturday, June 29
5pm
Round of 16
Switzerland
vs.
Italy
8pm
Round of 16
Germany
vs.
Denmark
Sunday, June 30
5pm
Round of 16
England
vs.
Slovakia
8pm
Round of 16
Spain
vs.
Georgia
Monday, July 1
5pm
Round of 16
France
vs.
Belgium
8pm
Round of 16
Portugal
vs.
Slovenia
Tuesday, July 2
5pm
Round of 16
Romania
vs.
Netherlands
8pm
Round of 16
Austria
vs.
Turkey
Friday, July 5
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 39
vs.
Winner Match 37
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 41
vs.
Winner Match 42
Saturday, July 6
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 40
vs.
Winner Match 38
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 43
vs.
Winner Match 44
Tuesday, July 9
8pm
Wednesday, July 10
8pm
Sunday, July 14
8pm
![Tables header RHS Tables header RHS](https://sm.imgix.net/23/25/tables-header-rhs.jpg?w=300&h=46)
Group A
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Group D
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
1
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2
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