Copa Sudamericana | First Round
Apr 14, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Campeón del Siglo
Penarol4 - 1Cerro Largo
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Penarol and Cerro Largo.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 54.24%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 22.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.21%), while for a Cerro Largo win it was 0-1 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Penarol | Draw | Cerro Largo |
| 54.24% | 23.62% | 22.14% |
| Both teams to score 52.87% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
