Wilstermann
2 - 1
Municipal Vinto

Villarroel (8'), Osorio (38')
Echeverria (47'), Melean (74'), Coimbra (90+1')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Saldias (76')
Robson (29')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Jorge Wilstermann and Municipal Vinto.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jorge Wilstermann win with a probability of 71.55%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Municipal Vinto had a probability of 11.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jorge Wilstermann win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.41%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.22%), while for a Municipal Vinto win it was 0-1 (3.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jorge Wilstermann would win this match.

Result
Jorge Wilstermann	Draw	Municipal Vinto
71.55%	17.33%	11.12%

Both teams to score 49.15%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.85%

40.14%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.48%

62.52%

Jorge Wilstermann Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.07%

9.93%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.14%

32.86%

Municipal Vinto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.56%

45.43%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.72%

81.28%

Score Analysis

Jorge Wilstermann 71.54%

Municipal Vinto 11.12%

Draw 17.33%

Jorge Wilstermann	Draw	Municipal Vinto
2-0 @ 12.03% 1-0 @ 10.41% 2-1 @ 9.49% 3-0 @ 9.27% 3-1 @ 7.31% 4-0 @ 5.35% 4-1 @ 4.22% 3-2 @ 2.88% 5-0 @ 2.47% 5-1 @ 1.95% 4-2 @ 1.67% 6-0 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.53% Total : 71.54%	1-1 @ 8.22% 0-0 @ 4.51% 2-2 @ 3.75% Other @ 0.85% Total : 17.33%	0-1 @ 3.56% 1-2 @ 3.24% 0-2 @ 1.4% 2-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.93% Total : 11.12%