Copa Libertadores | Second Round
Mar 17, 2021 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa
Ayacucho1 - 2Gremio
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Second Round clash between Ayacucho and Gremio.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 48.17%. A win for Ayacucho had a probability of 26.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.39%) and 0-2 (8.5%). The likeliest Ayacucho win was 1-0 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gremio would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ayacucho | Draw | Gremio |
| 26.71% | 25.11% | 48.17% |
| Both teams to score 53.03% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
