Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Royal Excel Mouscron win with a probability of 57.93%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Waasland-Beveren had a probability of 20.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Royal Excel Mouscron win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 2-0 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.39%), while for a Waasland-Beveren win it was 0-1 (5.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.