Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KV Oostende win with a probability of 42.19%. A win for Royal Excel Mouscron had a probability of 32.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a KV Oostende win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.91%) and 0-2 (6.95%). The likeliest Royal Excel Mouscron win was 1-0 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for KV Oostende in this match.