Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 43.8%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 31.75% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 1-2 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Udinese | Draw | Sassuolo |
43.8% ( 0.65) | 24.44% ( -0.22) | 31.75% ( -0.43) |
Both teams to score 58.47% ( 0.6) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.8% ( 0.86) | 44.2% ( -0.87) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.42% ( 0.83) | 66.58% ( -0.84) |
Udinese Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.69% ( 0.65) | 20.3% ( -0.65) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.32% ( 1.03) | 52.67% ( -1.03) |
Sassuolo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.36% ( 0.15) | 26.64% ( -0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.13% ( 0.2) | 61.87% ( -0.21) |
Score Analysis |
Udinese | Draw | Sassuolo |
2-1 @ 9.09% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 8.62% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 6.87% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.83% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 3.65% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 3.2% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 1.93% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 1.46% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.27% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.88% Total : 43.81% | 1-1 @ 11.4% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 6.02% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 5.41% ( -0.21) 3-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.44% | 1-2 @ 7.55% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 7.15% ( -0.24) 0-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 3.33% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.65% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.1% Other @ 3.15% Total : 31.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 20 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 32 | 12 | 20 | 47 |
2 | Inter Milan | 19 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 48 | 17 | 31 | 44 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 44 | 21 | 23 | 43 |
4 | Lazio | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
5 | Juventus | 20 | 7 | 13 | 0 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 34 |
6 | Fiorentina | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 32 |
7 | AC Milan | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 31 |
8 | Bologna | 19 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 30 |
9 | Roma | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 27 |
10 | Udinese | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 26 |
11 | Genoa | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 23 |
12 | Torino | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 22 |
13 | Empoli | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
14 | Lecce | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 32 | -18 | 20 |
15 | Parma | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 19 |
16 | Como | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 19 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 20 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 24 | 44 | -20 | 19 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 18 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
20 | Monza | 20 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 13 |
> Serie A Full Table |