Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Arabi win with a probability of 59.55%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Al Ahli had a probability of 19.93%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Arabi win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.55%) and 1-0 (8.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.27%), while for an Al Ahli win it was 1-2 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.