Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 38%. A win for Ajaccio had a probability of 32.39% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.54%) and 0-2 (7.45%). The likeliest Ajaccio win was 1-0 (11.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nantes would win this match.
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