Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 46.25%. A win for Santos Laguna had a probability of 30.16% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.04%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Santos Laguna win was 2-1 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pachuca would win this match.