MX23RW : Saturday, January 18 19:37:39| >> :60:103:103:
Leagues Cup | Round of 16
Aug 14, 2024 at 3am UK
Estadio Nemesio Diez
Colorado Rapids

Toluca
1 - 2
Colorado

Paulinho (83')
Amaya (41')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Navarro (45'), Yapi (90+6')
Mihailovic (12')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Leagues Cup clash between Toluca and Colorado Rapids, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Toluca 2-2 Houston (5-4 pen.)
Saturday, August 10 at 1.30am in Leagues Cup
Last Game: Juarez 2-3 Colorado
Saturday, August 10 at 2.30am in Leagues Cup

We said: Toluca 3-2 Colorado Rapids

While knockout ties can get cagey at times, Toluca and Colorado Rapids both showed no signs of holding back last time out, which bodes well for the potential entertainment value of Wednesday's meeting. We are backing the hosts to make home advantage count and get the job done at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 60.91%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Colorado Rapids had a probability of 19.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.89%) and 3-1 (7.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.49%), while for a Colorado Rapids win it was 1-2 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
TolucaDrawColorado Rapids
60.91% (-0.595 -0.59) 19.55% (0.227 0.23) 19.54% (0.371 0.37)
Both teams to score 63.06% (-0.175 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.52% (-0.51300000000001 -0.51)32.48% (0.517 0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.88% (-0.599 -0.6)54.12% (0.602 0.6)
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.58% (-0.297 -0.3)10.42% (0.302 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.03% (-0.678 -0.68)33.97% (0.682 0.68)
Colorado Rapids Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.39% (0.040999999999997 0.04)29.61% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.35% (0.048000000000002 0.05)65.65% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Toluca 60.91%
    Colorado Rapids 19.54%
    Draw 19.55%
TolucaDrawColorado Rapids
2-1 @ 9.6% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 7.89% (0.018 0.02)
3-1 @ 7.24% (-0.069 -0.07)
1-0 @ 6.98% (0.104 0.1)
3-0 @ 5.95% (-0.063 -0.06)
3-2 @ 4.41% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
4-1 @ 4.09% (-0.092 -0.09)
4-0 @ 3.36% (-0.08 -0.08)
4-2 @ 2.49% (-0.054 -0.05)
5-1 @ 1.85% (-0.066 -0.07)
5-0 @ 1.52% (-0.056 -0.06)
5-2 @ 1.13% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-3 @ 1.01% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 60.91%
1-1 @ 8.49% (0.136 0.14)
2-2 @ 5.84% (0.026 0.03)
0-0 @ 3.08% (0.085 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.79% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 19.55%
1-2 @ 5.17% (0.088 0.09)
0-1 @ 3.75% (0.107 0.11)
2-3 @ 2.37% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.28% (0.067 0.07)
1-3 @ 2.1% (0.038 0.04)
0-3 @ 0.93% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 19.54%

rhs 2.0
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2Arsenal21127241192243
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest21125430201041
4Newcastle UnitedNewcastle22115638261238
5Chelsea21107441261537
6Bournemouth22107536261037
7Manchester CityMan City2110563829935
8Aston Villa2110563132-135
9Fulham228953430433
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2171043229331
11Brentford2284104039128
12Crystal Palace226972528-327
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd217592629-326
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2275102743-1626
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs21731143321124
16Everton203891526-1117
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2144133148-1716
18Ipswich TownIpswich2137112037-1716
19Leicester CityLeicester2235142348-2514
20Southampton2113171347-346


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