Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 42.74%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 28.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.56%) and 2-1 (8.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.18%), while for a Espanyol win it was 0-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Valladolid would win this match.
Result | ||
Real Valladolid | Draw | Espanyol |
42.74% ( -0.32) | 28.79% ( 0.05) | 28.47% ( 0.26) |
Both teams to score 43.69% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.56% ( -0.08) | 62.44% ( 0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.94% ( -0.05) | 82.06% ( 0.06) |
Real Valladolid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.03% ( -0.21) | 28.97% ( 0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.14% ( -0.27) | 64.86% ( 0.26) |
Espanyol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.5% ( 0.17) | 38.5% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.76% ( 0.17) | 75.24% ( -0.17) |
Score Analysis |
Real Valladolid | Draw | Espanyol |
1-0 @ 13.81% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 8.56% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 8.17% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.54% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 3.38% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.1% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.05% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.53% Total : 42.74% | 1-1 @ 13.18% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 11.15% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 3.9% ( 0) Other @ 0.55% Total : 28.78% | 0-1 @ 10.64% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 6.3% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 5.08% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.58% Total : 28.46% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 21 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 50 | 20 | 30 | 49 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 22 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 37 | 14 | 23 | 48 |
3 | Barcelona | 21 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 59 | 24 | 35 | 42 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 40 |
5 | Villarreal | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 44 | 33 | 11 | 37 |
6 | Rayo Vallecano | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 32 |
7 | Mallorca | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 30 |
8 | GironaGirona | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 28 |
9 | Real Sociedad | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 28 |
10 | Real BetisBetis | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 28 |
11 | Sevilla | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 28 |
12 | Osasuna | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 27 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 30 | 33 | -3 | 25 |
14 | Getafe | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 24 |
15 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 23 |
16 | Leganes | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 23 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 21 |
18 | Espanyol | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 20 |
19 | Valencia | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 20 | 36 | -16 | 16 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 22 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 47 | -32 | 15 |
> La Liga Full Table |