MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 15:29:36| >> :60:2116:2116:
Sporting Lisbon
Europa League | Group Stage
Nov 9, 2023 at 8pm UK
CGD Stadium Aurelio Pereira
Rakow

Sporting Lisbon
2 - 1
Rakow

Goncalves (14' pen., 52' pen.)
Inacio (29'), Paulinho (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Rundic (70')
Cebula (90+4')
Racovitan (12')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Sporting Lisbon and Rakow Czestochowa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rakow 5-0 Zaglebie Lubin
Sunday, November 5 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

We said: Sporting Lisbon 2-1 Rakow Czestochowa

While Sporting Lisbon have not done as well as they would have expected in the first half of the group stages, they do have two home games to come in their last three matches and will be targeting nothing less than three points in both of those. They were a tad unlucky to drop two points the last time these sides met, but we do not expect them to make the same mistake this time. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 72.95%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Rakow Czestochowa had a probability of 10.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 3-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.54%), while for a Rakow Czestochowa win it was 1-2 (3.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.

Result
Sporting LisbonDrawRakow Czestochowa
72.95% (0.0099999999999909 0.01) 16.18% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 10.88% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Both teams to score 52.66% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.8% (0.034000000000006 0.03)35.21% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.78% (0.037999999999997 0.04)57.22% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.65% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)8.36% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.9% (0.025000000000006 0.03)29.1% (-0.028000000000002 -0.03)
Rakow Czestochowa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.46% (0.018999999999998 0.02)42.54% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.1% (0.015999999999998 0.02)78.9% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Sporting Lisbon 72.95%
    Rakow Czestochowa 10.88%
    Draw 16.18%
Sporting LisbonDrawRakow Czestochowa
2-0 @ 10.95%
2-1 @ 9.36% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 9.06% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
1-0 @ 8.82% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.74% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 5.62% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 4.81% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-2 @ 3.31% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 2.79% (0.0019999999999998 0)
5-1 @ 2.39% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 2.05% (0.0029999999999997 0)
6-0 @ 1.16% (0.002 0)
5-2 @ 1.02% (0.002 0)
6-1 @ 0.99% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 72.95%
1-1 @ 7.54% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-2 @ 4% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-0 @ 3.56% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.94% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 16.18%
1-2 @ 3.22% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 3.04% (-0.004 -0)
0-2 @ 1.3%
2-3 @ 1.14% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.26%
Total : 10.88%

How you voted: Sporting Lisbon vs Rakow

Sporting Lisbon
88.9%
Draw
6.3%
Rakow Czestochowa
4.8%
63
Head to Head
Oct 26, 2023 5.45pm
Group Stage
Rakow
1-1
Sporting Lisbon
Piasecki (79')
Berggren (19'), Kochergin (44'), Carlos (49')
Coates (14')
Coates (8'), Diomande (67')
Gyokeres (8')
rhs 2.0
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