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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 65.09%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for FC Volendam had a probability of 15.77%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.82%) and 0-1 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.84%), while for a FC Volendam win it was 2-1 (4.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
FC Volendam | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
15.77% ( 0.01) | 19.13% ( 0.14) | 65.09% ( -0.16) |
Both teams to score 56.46% ( -0.51) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.61% ( -0.68) | 37.39% ( 0.67) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.39% ( -0.73) | 59.61% ( 0.73) |
FC Volendam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.29% ( -0.41) | 36.71% ( 0.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.5% ( -0.41) | 73.5% ( 0.41) |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.21% ( -0.24) | 10.79% ( 0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.19% ( -0.52) | 34.81% ( 0.52) |
Score Analysis |
FC Volendam | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
2-1 @ 4.43% ( 0) 1-0 @ 3.97% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 1.99% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.65% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 1.48% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.26% Total : 15.78% | 1-1 @ 8.84% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 3.96% ( 0.13) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.19% Total : 19.14% | 1-2 @ 9.84% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 9.82% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 8.82% ( 0.2) 1-3 @ 7.3% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 7.29% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 4.07% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 4.06% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.66% ( -0.07) 2-4 @ 2.04% ( -0.06) 1-5 @ 1.81% ( -0.05) 0-5 @ 1.81% ( -0.03) 2-5 @ 0.91% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.68% Total : 65.09% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 59 | 13 | 46 | 45 |
2 | Ajax | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 25 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
10 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |