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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 68.26%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for FC Volendam had a probability of 14.15%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.45%) and 1-0 (7.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.94%), while for a FC Volendam win it was 1-2 (4.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for AZ Alkmaar in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for AZ Alkmaar.
Result | ||
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | FC Volendam |
68.26% ( 0.19) | 17.59% ( -0.05) | 14.15% ( -0.14) |
Both teams to score 58.02% ( -0.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.57% ( -0.05) | 33.43% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.78% ( -0.05) | 55.21% ( 0.05) |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.05% ( 0.03) | 8.94% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.46% ( 0.07) | 30.53% ( -0.07) |
FC Volendam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.72% ( -0.21) | 36.27% ( 0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.94% ( -0.22) | 73.05% ( 0.21) |
Score Analysis |
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | FC Volendam |
2-1 @ 9.59% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.45% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 7.83% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 7.72% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 7.61% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 4.66% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 4.59% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.91% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 2.25% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 2.22% ( 0.02) 5-2 @ 1.14% ( -0) 6-1 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.03% Total : 68.26% | 1-1 @ 7.94% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.86% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 3.24% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.22% Total : 17.59% | 1-2 @ 4.03% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 3.29% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.67% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.16% Total : 14.15% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 59 | 13 | 46 | 45 |
2 | Ajax | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 25 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
10 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |