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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 42.91%. A win for FC Volendam had a probability of 33.48% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.36%) and 0-2 (6.15%). The likeliest FC Volendam win was 2-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that FC Volendam would win this match.
Result | ||
FC Volendam | Draw | Groningen |
33.48% ( 0.07) | 23.61% ( 0.01) | 42.91% ( -0.08) |
Both teams to score 62.17% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.36% ( -0.04) | 39.64% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.01% ( -0.04) | 61.99% ( 0.04) |
FC Volendam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.58% ( 0.02) | 23.42% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.59% ( 0.03) | 57.41% ( -0.03) |
Groningen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.18% ( -0.05) | 18.81% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.75% ( -0.08) | 50.25% ( 0.08) |
Score Analysis |
FC Volendam | Draw | Groningen |
2-1 @ 7.76% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.4% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.64% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.75% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.14% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.25% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.36% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.14% ( 0) Other @ 3.05% Total : 33.48% | 1-1 @ 10.68% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.48% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.41% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.75% ( -0) Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.6% | 1-2 @ 8.92% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.36% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.15% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.97% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.61% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.42% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.08% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.51% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.47% Total : 42.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 56 | 13 | 43 | 42 |
2 | Ajax | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 36 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
10 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
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