MX23RW : Wednesday, January 29 06:03:29| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
AZ Alkmaar
Eredivisie | Gameweek 17
Jan 22, 2023 at 3.45pm UK
AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar
Fortuna Sittard

AZ
3 - 1
Sittard

de Wit (4'), Navarro (24' og.), Pavlidis (56')
Vanheusden (41')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Yilmaz (11' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and Fortuna Sittard, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: Heerenveen 0-2 AZ
Saturday, January 14 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

Fortuna Sittard

All competitions
Last Game: Sittard 2-2 PSV
Sunday, January 15 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: AZ Alkmaar 3-1 Fortuna Sittard

 On the back of holding PSV, Sittard will have every confidence that they can do the same with AZ. However, sense an opportunity to capitalise on Feyenoord and Ajax playing each other this weekend, we are backing the home side to run out convincing winners. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 69.55%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 12.45%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.04%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.5%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 0-1 (3.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for AZ Alkmaar in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for AZ Alkmaar.

Result
AZ AlkmaarDrawFortuna Sittard
69.55% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06) 18% (0.221 0.22) 12.45% (-0.157 -0.16)
Both teams to score 51.22% (-1.323 -1.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.29% (-1.472 -1.47)39.71% (1.473 1.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.93% (-1.547 -1.55)62.07% (1.548 1.55)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.69% (-0.41 -0.41)10.31% (0.4101 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.27% (-0.94099999999999 -0.94)33.73% (0.942 0.94)
Fortuna Sittard Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.1% (-1.209 -1.21)42.89% (1.209 1.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.8% (-1.038 -1.04)79.2% (1.04 1.04)
Score Analysis
    AZ Alkmaar 69.54%
    Fortuna Sittard 12.45%
    Draw 18%
AZ AlkmaarDrawFortuna Sittard
2-0 @ 11.41% (0.38 0.38)
1-0 @ 10.04% (0.498 0.5)
2-1 @ 9.66% (0.004999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 8.65% (0.138 0.14)
3-1 @ 7.32% (-0.127 -0.13)
4-0 @ 4.91% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 4.16% (-0.148 -0.15)
3-2 @ 3.1% (-0.16 -0.16)
5-0 @ 2.23% (-0.044 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.89% (-0.103 -0.1)
4-2 @ 1.76% (-0.124 -0.12)
Other @ 4.42%
Total : 69.54%
1-1 @ 8.5% (0.155 0.15)
0-0 @ 4.42% (0.296 0.3)
2-2 @ 4.09% (-0.136 -0.14)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 18%
0-1 @ 3.74% (0.132 0.13)
1-2 @ 3.6% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-2 @ 1.58% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.15% (-0.078 -0.08)
1-3 @ 1.02% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 1.35%
Total : 12.45%

How you voted: AZ vs Sittard

AZ Alkmaar
95.8%
Draw
4.2%
Fortuna Sittard
0.0%
24
Head to Head
Jan 16, 2022 3.45pm
Sittard
1-2
AZ
Rienstra (85')
Beukema (14'), Sugawara (61')
Dec 2, 2021 5.45pm
AZ
2-1
Sittard
Pavlidis (41'), Karlsson (51')
Hatzidiakos (57')
Flemming (9')
Musaba (13')
May 8, 2021 7pm
AZ
1-0
Sittard
Gudmundsson (29' pen.)
Aboukhlal (31'), Bizot (90+3'), Midtsjo (90+5')
Leeuwin (49')

van Osch (27')
Sep 26, 2020 5.45pm
Sittard
3-3
AZ
Flemming (9', 90+6'), Hansson (79')
Rota (87'), Smeets (90+5')
De Wit (23'), Koopmeiners (52'), Boadu (69')
Hatzidiakos (37')
Apr 25, 2020 5.30pm
Sittard
P-P
AZ
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV20161365204549
2Ajax19143241172445
3FC UtrechtUtrecht2012533730741
4Feyenoord19106342241836
5FC Twente19104539251434
6AZ AlkmaarAZ20104634211334
7Go Ahead Eagles199463528731
8Fortuna SittardSittard207492736-925
9NAC BredaNAC Breda2081112535-1025
10Heerenveen2073102136-1524
11NECNijmegen1972102825323
12Willem II206592428-423
13PEC Zwolle206592329-623
14Groningen205691729-1221
15Heracles204882336-1320
16Sparta RotterdamSparta203891829-1117
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk2025132244-2211
18Almere CityAlmere City1924131039-2910
> Eredivisie Full Table


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