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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 64.58%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 16.65%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.84%) and 0-1 (7.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.38%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 2-1 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
RKC Waalwijk | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
16.65% ( 0.04) | 18.76% ( -0.17) | 64.58% ( 0.13) |
Both teams to score 60.03% ( 0.77) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.24% ( 0.94) | 33.76% ( -0.94) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.4% ( 1.06) | 55.59% ( -1.06) |
RKC Waalwijk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.61% ( 0.63) | 33.38% ( -0.64) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.99% ( 0.69) | 70.01% ( -0.7) |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.11% ( 0.29) | 9.88% ( -0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.23% ( 0.68) | 32.76% ( -0.68) |
Score Analysis |
RKC Waalwijk | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
2-1 @ 4.6% ( -0) 1-0 @ 3.62% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 1.99% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.95% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 1.68% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.82% Total : 16.65% | 1-1 @ 8.38% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 5.32% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 3.3% ( -0.16) 3-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.26% Total : 18.76% | 1-2 @ 9.69% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 8.84% ( -0.2) 0-1 @ 7.64% ( -0.28) 1-3 @ 7.48% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 6.82% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 4.33% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 4.1% ( 0.1) 0-4 @ 3.94% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 2.37% ( 0.09) 1-5 @ 2% ( 0.06) 0-5 @ 1.83% ( 0.03) 2-5 @ 1.1% ( 0.05) Other @ 4.45% Total : 64.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 59 | 13 | 46 | 45 |
2 | Ajax | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 25 |
9 | Willem II | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
10 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
11 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |