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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 68.1%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 13.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 1-0 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.65%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 1-2 (3.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
Result | ||
FC Twente | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
68.1% ( -0.05) | 18.42% ( 0.02) | 13.48% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 52.89% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.91% ( -0.04) | 39.09% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.58% ( -0.04) | 61.42% ( 0.04) |
FC Twente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.5% ( -0.02) | 10.5% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.83% ( -0.05) | 34.17% ( 0.06) |
RKC Waalwijk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.1% ( 0.02) | 40.9% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.53% ( 0.02) | 77.47% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
FC Twente | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
2-0 @ 10.9% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.75% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.68% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 8.19% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.33% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 4.62% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 4.13% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.28% 5-0 @ 2.08% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.86% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.85% ( -0) Other @ 4.44% Total : 68.1% | 1-1 @ 8.65% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.36% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.3% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.13% Total : 18.42% | 1-2 @ 3.87% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 3.84% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.72% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.3% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.15% ( 0) Other @ 1.6% Total : 13.48% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 59 | 13 | 46 | 45 |
2 | Ajax | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 25 |
9 | Willem II | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
10 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
11 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
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