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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Cambuur
Eredivisie | Gameweek 11
Oct 23, 2022 at 1.30pm UK
Cambuur Stadion
FC Twente logo

Cambuur
0 - 1
FC Twente


van der Water (29'), Schmidt (32'), Uldrikis (35')
FT(HT: 0-0)
van Wolfswinkel (90+6' pen.)
Misidjan (3'), Brenet (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Cambuur and FC Twente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cambuur 0-3 Vitesse
Saturday, October 15 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: FC Twente 3-0 Groningen
Sunday, October 16 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: Cambuur 1-2 FC Twente

Twente have struggled on the road all-season long, but their dominant record against this weekend's opponents should give them cause for optimism. We fancy the away side to carry the day, albeit by only a narrow margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 45.88%. A win for Cambuur had a probability of 30.92% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.41%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Cambuur win was 2-1 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.

Result
CambuurDrawFC Twente
30.92% (1.277 1.28) 23.19% (0.266 0.27) 45.88% (-1.546 -1.55)
Both teams to score 62.54% (-0.19 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.33% (-0.577 -0.58)38.67% (0.574 0.57)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.02% (-0.613 -0.61)60.97% (0.61 0.61)
Cambuur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.55% (0.502 0.5)24.45% (-0.505 -0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.11% (0.706 0.71)58.88% (-0.708 -0.71)
FC Twente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.77% (-0.81 -0.81)17.22% (0.807 0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.48% (-1.437 -1.44)47.51% (1.434 1.43)
Score Analysis
    Cambuur 30.92%
    FC Twente 45.88%
    Draw 23.19%
CambuurDrawFC Twente
2-1 @ 7.35% (0.216 0.22)
1-0 @ 5.93% (0.244 0.24)
2-0 @ 4.18% (0.23 0.23)
3-1 @ 3.45% (0.15 0.15)
3-2 @ 3.04% (0.054 0.05)
3-0 @ 1.96% (0.136 0.14)
4-1 @ 1.22% (0.07 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.07% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 30.92%
1-1 @ 10.43% (0.16 0.16)
2-2 @ 6.46% (0.019 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.21% (0.114 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.78% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.19%
1-2 @ 9.18% (-0.108 -0.11)
0-1 @ 7.41% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 6.51% (-0.174 -0.17)
1-3 @ 5.38% (-0.211 -0.21)
0-3 @ 3.82% (-0.208 -0.21)
2-3 @ 3.79% (-0.092 -0.09)
1-4 @ 2.37% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-4 @ 1.68% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-4 @ 1.67% (-0.087 -0.09)
Other @ 4.09%
Total : 45.88%

How you voted: Cambuur vs FC Twente

Cambuur
0.0%
Draw
6.7%
FC Twente
93.3%
15
Head to Head
Mar 6, 2022 1.30pm
FC Twente
1-0
Cambuur
Propper (63')
Brenet (70')

ter Heide (16'), Mac-Intosch (25'), Schouten (57'), Paulissen (88'), Tol (90+4')
Aug 28, 2021 5.45pm
Cambuur
2-0
FC Twente
Jacobs (66', 90+1')
Hoedemakers (36')

Smal (17'), van Wolfswinkel (42'), Ilic (50')
Ilic (55')
May 3, 2019 7pm
FC Twente
2-2
Cambuur
Boere (5'), Hamdaoui (37')
Schilder (88'), Robertha (93')
Dec 14, 2018 7pm
Jan 30, 2018 7.45pm
FC Twente
3-1
Cambuur
Assaidi (60' pen.), Maher (68', 76')
Schils (33')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV17150259134645
2Ajax17123237162139
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1711333428636
4Feyenoord17105240211935
5AZ AlkmaarAZ17102531171432
6FC Twente1794432211131
7Go Ahead Eagles177463027325
8Fortuna SittardSittard177462525025
9Willem II176472119222
10NAC BredaNAC Breda177191927-822
11Heerenveen176381731-1421
12NECNijmegen1752102324-117
13PEC Zwolle174581626-1017
14Groningen164481426-1216
15Heracles163581833-1514
16Sparta RotterdamSparta172691426-1212
17Almere CityAlmere City1723121037-279
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1714121841-237


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