Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 56.38%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 21.94% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.59%) and 0-2 (8.5%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 (5.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
