MX23RW : Saturday, January 18 19:37:39| >> :60:103:103:
Montevideo Wanderers
Copa Sudamericana | First Round
Mar 7, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Parque Alfredo Victor Viera

Wanderers
0 - 1
Danubio


Freitas (54'), Garcia (71'), Viudez (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Fracchia (55')
Ferreira (90+4')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Montevideo Wanderers and Danubio.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nacional 3-0 Wanderers
Saturday, March 2 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 1-0 Danubio
Saturday, March 2 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 39.28%. A win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 32.28% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.01%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Montevideo Wanderers win was 1-0 (10.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Danubio in this match.

Result
Montevideo WanderersDrawDanubio
32.28% (0.197 0.2) 28.43% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05) 39.28% (-0.148 -0.15)
Both teams to score 46.08% (0.188 0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.84% (0.21 0.21)60.16% (-0.208 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.64% (0.161 0.16)80.36% (-0.15899999999999 -0.16)
Montevideo Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.66% (0.253 0.25)34.34% (-0.252 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.96% (0.268 0.27)71.04% (-0.26600000000001 -0.27)
Danubio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.18% (0.016000000000005 0.02)29.82% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.1% (0.019999999999996 0.02)65.9% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Montevideo Wanderers 32.28%
    Danubio 39.27%
    Draw 28.42%
Montevideo WanderersDrawDanubio
1-0 @ 10.94% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.08% (0.044 0.04)
2-0 @ 5.85% (0.034 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.52% (0.033 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.08% (0.026 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.53% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 32.28%
1-1 @ 13.24% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 10.23% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-2 @ 4.28% (0.029000000000001 0.03)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 28.42%
0-1 @ 12.38% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-2 @ 8.01% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 7.5% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-3 @ 3.23% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 3.02% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.73% (0.013 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.98% (0.001 0)
0-4 @ 0.92% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 39.27%

Head to Head
Nov 29, 2023 10pm
Gameweek 13
Wanderers
3-0
Danubio
Fonseca (2'), Suarez (88'), Ferreira (90')
Albarracin (24'), Garcia (30'), Fonseca (78')

Etchebarne (44')
Jun 3, 2023 9.30pm
Gameweek 1
Wanderers
1-1
Danubio
Costa (37')
Camargo (63'), Albarracin (66')
May (67' pen.)
Sosa (29'), Cruz (90+3')
Apr 29, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 13
Danubio
0-2
Wanderers
Milan (35'), Fonseca (90+6')
Sep 10, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 7
Wanderers
0-3
Danubio
Fernandez (4', 19', 42')
Apr 2, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 7
Danubio
0-0
Wanderers
Navarro (16'), Vicente (39'), Rea (60'), Olivera (84')
Navarro (40')
Mendez (32'), Figueredo (69'), Veglio (73')
rhs 2.0
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