MX23RW : Saturday, January 18 23:57:31| >> :60:17:17:
Copa Sudamericana | First Round
Mar 6, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Polideportivo Misael Delgado

Carabobo
1 - 1
Metropolitanos

Carlos Ortiz (64' pen.)
Apaolaza (19'), Merino (20'), Aponte (45+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ortiz (7')
Cuero (38')
Graterol (62')
Metropolitanos win 5-4 on penalties
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Carabobo and Metropolitanos.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 3-1 Carabobo
Thursday, March 2 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
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Last Game: Nacional 1-0 Metropolitanos
Wednesday, June 28 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carabobo win with a probability of 52.38%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Metropolitanos had a probability of 21.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carabobo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.56%) and 2-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.14%), while for a Metropolitanos win it was 0-1 (8.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
CaraboboDrawMetropolitanos
52.38% (0.076999999999998 0.08) 26% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 21.62% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07)
Both teams to score 45.3% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.58% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)57.42% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.77% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)78.23% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Carabobo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.98% (0.019999999999996 0.02)22.02% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.67% (0.027000000000001 0.03)55.33% (-0.023999999999994 -0.02)
Metropolitanos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.09% (-0.089999999999996 -0.09)41.91% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.64% (-0.077000000000002 -0.08)78.36% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Carabobo 52.37%
    Metropolitanos 21.62%
    Draw 26%
CaraboboDrawMetropolitanos
1-0 @ 13.96% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 10.56% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.19% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 5.33% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.64% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 2.02% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.02% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.75% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 52.37%
1-1 @ 12.14% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.23% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 4% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 26%
0-1 @ 8.02% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.28% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.49% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.53% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.16% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.01% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.13%
Total : 21.62%

rhs 2.0
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4Newcastle UnitedNewcastle22115638261238
5Chelsea21107441261537
6Bournemouth22107536261037
7Manchester CityMan City2110563829935
8Aston Villa2110563132-135
9Fulham228953430433
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2171043229331
11Brentford2284104039128
12Crystal Palace226972528-327
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd217592629-326
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2275102743-1626
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs21731143321124
16Everton203891526-1117
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2144133148-1716
18Ipswich TownIpswich2137112037-1716
19Leicester CityLeicester2235142348-2514
20Southampton2113171347-346


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