MX23RW : Saturday, January 18 19:46:00| >> :300:86500:86500:
Independiente
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 26
Dec 10, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Libertadores de America
Atletico Tucuman

Independiente
2 - 1
Tucuman

Avalos (14' pen.), Loyola (75')
Marcone (53')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Bajamich (65')
Castro Ponce (13'), Acosta (70'), Bajamich (77')
Estigarribia (17'), Sava (67')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Independiente and Atletico Tucuman.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Independiente 2-0 C. Cordoba
Sunday, December 1 at 8pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Tucuman 0-0 Newell's OB
Tuesday, December 3 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 49.37%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 21.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.73%) and 2-1 (8.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.6%), while for an Atletico Tucuman win it was 0-1 (9.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente would win this match.

Result
IndependienteDrawAtletico Tucuman
49.37% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02) 28.72% (0.681 0.68) 21.91% (-0.663 -0.66)
Both teams to score 39.02% (-2.213 -2.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.28% (-2.459 -2.46)65.72% (2.457 2.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.61% (-1.736 -1.74)84.39% (1.734 1.73)
Independiente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.9% (-1.168 -1.17)27.1% (1.163 1.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.52% (-1.549 -1.55)62.48% (1.544 1.54)
Atletico Tucuman Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.53% (-2.145 -2.15)46.47% (2.142 2.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.91% (-1.695 -1.7)82.08% (1.69 1.69)
Score Analysis
    Independiente 49.36%
    Atletico Tucuman 21.91%
    Draw 28.72%
IndependienteDrawAtletico Tucuman
1-0 @ 16.44% (0.93 0.93)
2-0 @ 10.73% (0.26 0.26)
2-1 @ 8.23% (-0.292 -0.29)
3-0 @ 4.67% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.58% (-0.251 -0.25)
4-0 @ 1.53% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-2 @ 1.37% (-0.187 -0.19)
4-1 @ 1.17% (-0.124 -0.12)
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 49.36%
1-1 @ 12.6% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 12.59% (1.1 1.1)
2-2 @ 3.15% (-0.313 -0.31)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 28.72%
0-1 @ 9.65% (0.297 0.3)
1-2 @ 4.83% (-0.306 -0.31)
0-2 @ 3.7% (-0.106 -0.11)
1-3 @ 1.23% (-0.159 -0.16)
0-3 @ 0.95% (-0.087 -0.09)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 21.91%

Head to Head
Mar 31, 2024 10.30pm
Gameweek 12
Independiente
1-1
Tucuman
Isla (89')
Costa (20')
Bajamich (34')
Estigarribia (45+6'), Tesuri (81'), Romero (90+5')
Nov 5, 2023 12am
Gameweek 12
Tucuman
1-2
Independiente
Estigarribia (19')
Ortiz (34'), Tesuri (45+7'), Acosta (64')
Laso (74'), Canelo (90+4')
Lopez (61'), Laso (68'), Baez (89')
Jul 23, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 26
Tucuman
1-0
Independiente
Estigarribia (19' pen.)
Guille (23'), Romero (41'), Ortiz (63'), Ruiz (68'), Bianchi (86'), Ojeda (90+7')
Bianchi (90+5')

Costa (45+4'), Ortiz (70'), Laso (73'), Martinez (90+4'), Gimenez Rojas (90+6')
Jul 24, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 10
Independiente
0-1
Tucuman

Barreto (31'), Elizalde (78')
Lotti (1')
Ruiz (49'), Acosta (62')
Aug 24, 2021 10.45pm
Second Phase
Tucuman
2-0
Independiente
Mussis (86'), Tesuri (87')
Campos (44'), Tesuri (88')

Ortega (45+2'), Ostachuk (56')
rhs 2.0
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