We said: Djurgardens IF 2-0 Varnamo
Although Varnamo have a strong away record this season, they have not been particularly outstanding at either end of the pitch.
With this in mind, they could struggle to create chances against Djurgardens on Sunday and this makes the home side favourites heading into the clash.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Djurgardens IF win with a probability of 58.87%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Varnamo had a probability of 19.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Djurgardens IF win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.43%) and 2-0 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for a Varnamo win it was 1-2 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Djurgardens IF would win this match.