Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 55.82%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 21.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.52%) and 2-0 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.46%), while for a Dungannon Swifts win it was 1-2 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ballymena United would win this match.

Result
Ballymena United	Draw	Dungannon Swifts
55.82% ( -0.7)	22.36% ( 0.15)	21.82% ( 0.55)

Both teams to score 56.58% (

0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.4% (

-0)

42.6% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.99% (

-0)

65% (

Ballymena United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.88% (

-0.23)

15.12% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.31% (

-0.44)

43.68% (

0.44)

Dungannon Swifts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.66% (

0.51)

33.34% (

-0.51)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.03% (

0.56)

69.96% (

-0.56)

Score Analysis

Ballymena United 55.82%

Dungannon Swifts 21.82%

Draw 22.36%

Ballymena United	Draw	Dungannon Swifts
2-1 @ 9.88% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 9.52% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 9% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 6.22% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 5.67% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 3.42% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.94% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 2.68% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.11% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.01% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.77% Total : 55.82%	1-1 @ 10.46% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.43% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 5.04% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.36%	1-2 @ 5.75% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 5.54% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 3.04% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.29% Total : 21.82%