National League North | Gameweek 46

Apr 29, 2023 at 3pm UK

Croft Park

Blyth Spartans
5 - 0
Hereford

Spellman (16'), Main (24'), Deverdics (50' pen.), O'Donnell (67'), Ferguson (71')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the National League North clash between Blyth Spartans and Hereford United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Blyth Spartans

All competitions

Last Game: Alfreton 1-0 Blyth Spartans
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in National League North

Goals
for

Hereford United

All competitions

Last Game: Hereford 0-0 Bradford Park Av
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in National League North

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 40.14%. A win for Blyth Spartans had a probability of 33.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest Blyth Spartans win was 1-0 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
Blyth Spartans	Draw	Hereford United
33.62% ( 0.48)	26.24% ( -0.25)	40.14% ( -0.23)

Both teams to score 53.04% (

0.92)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.48% (

1.13)

51.52% (

-1.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.68% (

0.97)

73.32% (

-0.97)

Blyth Spartans Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.96% (

0.87)

29.03% (

-0.87)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.06% (

1.06)

64.94% (

-1.06)

Hereford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.74% (

0.39)

25.25% (

-0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.99% (

0.53)

60% (

-0.53)

Score Analysis

Blyth Spartans 33.62%

Hereford United 40.14%

Draw 26.23%

Blyth Spartans	Draw	Hereford United
1-0 @ 9.07% ( -0.19) 2-1 @ 7.72% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 5.61% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.18% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 2.31% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.19% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.56% Total : 33.62%	1-1 @ 12.47% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 7.33% ( -0.34) 2-2 @ 5.31% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 1% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.23%	0-1 @ 10.09% ( -0.34) 1-2 @ 8.59% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 6.94% ( -0.16) 1-3 @ 3.94% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 3.19% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.09) 1-4 @ 1.36% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.51% Total : 40.14%