Ligue 1 | Gameweek 11
Nov 4, 2023 at 4pm UK
Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir
Lorient0 - 0Lens
We said: Lorient 1-1 Lens
Despite an impressive recent unbeaten run, Lens have drawn their fair share of matches this season - five in 13 - and could be set for another in what could be a rather low-key affair. Lorient are strong at home and are often tough to beat - a 3-0 defeat here to Montpellier aside - and Le Bris's side could frustrate Lens despite coming into the game as big underdogs. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 61%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 17.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.66%) and 1-2 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.22%), while for a Lorient win it was 1-0 (5.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Lorient | Draw | Lens |
17.46% ( 0.04) | 21.53% ( 0.04) | 61% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 51.88% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.76% ( -0.1) | 45.24% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.42% ( -0.1) | 67.58% ( 0.1) |
| Lorient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.57% ( -0) | 39.43% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.87% ( -0) | 76.13% ( 0.01) |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.66% ( -0.05) | 14.34% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 57.8% ( -0.11) | 42.2% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
Lorient 17.46%
Lens 61%
Draw 21.53%
| Lorient | Draw | Lens |
| 1-0 @ 5.26% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 4.76% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 2.45% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 1.48% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.43% ( -0)Other @ 2.09% Total : 17.46% | 1-1 @ 10.22% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.66% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.62% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 21.53% | 0-1 @ 10.98% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 10.66% 1-2 @ 9.92% ( -0)0-3 @ 6.9% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 6.42% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 3.35% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 3.12% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.99% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.45% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 1.3% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 1.21% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.69% Total : 61% |
How you voted: Lorient vs Lens
Lorient
8.3%Draw
50.0%Lens
41.7%12
Head to Head
Feb 9, 2023 8pm
Aug 31, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 5
Lens
5-2
Lorient
Feb 6, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 23
Lorient
2-0
Lens
