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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Gillingham
League Two | Gameweek 40
Apr 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
MEMS Priestfield Stadium
Doncaster Rovers

Gillingham
1 - 0
Doncaster

Nichols (44')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Barlow (88')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Gillingham and Doncaster Rovers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barrow 2-1 Gillingham
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Doncaster 0-2 Crewe
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 46.85%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 25.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.43%) and 2-1 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.81%), while for a Doncaster Rovers win it was 0-1 (9.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gillingham in this match.

Result
GillinghamDrawDoncaster Rovers
46.85% (-0.35 -0.35) 27.67% (-0.147 -0.15) 25.48% (0.5 0.5)
Both teams to score 44.69% (0.78 0.78)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.79% (0.788 0.79)60.21% (-0.78299999999999 -0.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.6% (0.594 0.59)80.4% (-0.59 -0.59)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.23% (0.18900000000001 0.19)25.77% (-0.184 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.28% (0.252 0.25)60.72% (-0.248 -0.25)
Doncaster Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.21% (0.901 0.9)39.79% (-0.896 -0.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.54% (0.817 0.82)76.46% (-0.81400000000001 -0.81)
Score Analysis
    Gillingham 46.84%
    Doncaster Rovers 25.48%
    Draw 27.66%
GillinghamDrawDoncaster Rovers
1-0 @ 13.9% (-0.34 -0.34)
2-0 @ 9.43% (-0.18 -0.18)
2-1 @ 8.69% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
3-0 @ 4.26% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-1 @ 3.93% (0.043 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.81% (0.063 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.44% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.33% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 46.84%
1-1 @ 12.81% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 10.25% (-0.31 -0.31)
2-2 @ 4% (0.119 0.12)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 27.66%
0-1 @ 9.45% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
1-2 @ 5.9% (0.146 0.15)
0-2 @ 4.35% (0.085 0.09)
1-3 @ 1.81% (0.087 0.09)
0-3 @ 1.34% (0.057 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.23% (0.065 0.07)
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 25.48%

Head to Head
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Mar 12, 2022 3pm
Oct 19, 2021 7.45pm
Mar 20, 2021 3pm
Dec 12, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2036111532-1715
24Morecambe2135131938-1914


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