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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 48.66%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 24.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.84%) and 1-2 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.62%), while for a Doncaster Rovers win it was 1-0 (9%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Northampton Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Northampton Town |
24.13% | 27.21% | 48.66% |
Both teams to score 44.75% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.47% | 59.53% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.12% | 79.88% |
Doncaster Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.35% | 40.65% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.76% | 77.24% |
Northampton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.41% | 24.59% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.91% | 59.09% |
Score Analysis |
Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Northampton Town |
1-0 @ 9% 2-1 @ 5.68% 2-0 @ 4.05% 3-1 @ 1.71% 3-0 @ 1.22% 3-2 @ 1.2% Other @ 1.28% Total : 24.13% | 1-1 @ 12.62% 0-0 @ 10% 2-2 @ 3.99% Other @ 0.61% Total : 27.21% | 0-1 @ 14.02% 0-2 @ 9.84% 1-2 @ 8.85% 0-3 @ 4.6% 1-3 @ 4.14% 2-3 @ 1.86% 0-4 @ 1.61% 1-4 @ 1.45% Other @ 2.28% Total : 48.66% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 43 |
2 | Port Vale | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 37 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 36 |
4 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 35 |
5 | Chesterfield | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 36 | 23 | 13 | 34 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 33 |
7 | Notts County | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 31 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 21 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 31 |
9 | MK Dons | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 30 |
10 | Gillingham | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 30 |
11 | Salford City | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 30 |
12 | Bradford CityBradford | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 28 |
13 | Bromley | 20 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 27 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 27 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 26 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 26 |
17 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 20 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 23 |
18 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 23 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 21 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 19 |
22 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 19 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 15 |
24 | Morecambe | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 14 |
> League Two Full Table |