We said: Cheltenham Town 2-0 Accrington Stanley
History in this fixture is on the side of Accrington, with Stanley having won three and drawn two of the last six meetings between the sides.
A repeat of April 2022's barmy 4-4 draw at the Wham Stadium would be just fine for the neutrals, but home advantage may see Cheltenham claim a crucial win.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 40.73%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 33.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.