Real Sociedad2 - 1Rayo Vallecano
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, April 15 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Friday, April 14 at 8pm in La Liga
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We said: Real Sociedad 2-1 Rayo Vallecano
Real Sociedad are in desperate need of the points in their battle to secure a top-four finish, and we are backing the Basque outfit to return to winning ways here. Rayo are more than capable of picking up a positive result on Saturday but might ultimately fall just short against Alguacil's side. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 51.86%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 22.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.42%) and 2-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.2%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 0-1 (8.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Real Sociedad in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Real Sociedad.
| Result | ||
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
51.86% ( -0.09) | 26.11% ( 0.02) | 22.03% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 45.49% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.57% ( -0) | 57.43% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.76% ( -0) | 78.24% ( 0.01) |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.76% ( -0.04) | 22.24% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.32% ( -0.06) | 55.68% ( 0.06) |
| Rayo Vallecano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.5% ( 0.07) | 41.5% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 22% ( 0.06) | 78% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
| 1-0 @ 13.87% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 10.42% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 9.17% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.23% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.6% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.02% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.96% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.73% ( -0)Other @ 2.85% Total : 51.85% | 1-1 @ 12.2% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.23% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.03% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.64% Total : 26.11% | 0-1 @ 8.12% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.37% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.57% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.18% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.17% Total : 22.03% |
