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J1 League | Gameweek 25
Aug 7, 2024 at 11am UK
Kyoto Nishikyogoku Stadium

Kyoto Sanga
3 - 2
Nagoya Grampus

Elias (59'), Hara (74'), Tulio (79')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Patric (5', 19')
Morishima (65')
Uchida (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's J1 League clash between Kyoto Sanga and Nagoya Grampus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 3-5 Stuttgart
Sunday, July 28 at 11am in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Vissel Kobe 3-3 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, July 20 at 11am in J1 League

We said: Kyoto Sanga 1-1 Nagoya Grampus

As two of the division's lowest goalscorers, few people will expect this contest to emerge as a particularly entertaining encounter. With that in mind, we feel that a goal apiece seems logical, something that may be viewed as beneficial to both teams. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 38.92%. A win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 33.72% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Kyoto Sanga win was 1-0 (10.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
Kyoto SangaDrawNagoya Grampus
33.72% (0.045999999999999 0.05) 27.36% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 38.92% (-0.068999999999996 -0.07)
Both teams to score 49.53% (-0.061 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.01% (-0.080999999999996 -0.08)55.99% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.92% (-0.067 -0.07)77.08% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Kyoto Sanga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.8% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)31.2% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.46% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)67.54% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Nagoya Grampus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)28% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.35% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)63.65% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Kyoto Sanga 33.71%
    Nagoya Grampus 38.92%
    Draw 27.36%
Kyoto SangaDrawNagoya Grampus
1-0 @ 10.17% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 7.54% (0.0029999999999992 0)
2-0 @ 5.93% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.93%
3-0 @ 2.3% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.86% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 33.71%
1-1 @ 12.95% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.74% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.8% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 27.36%
0-1 @ 11.12% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.24% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.08% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.5% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.04% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.11% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-4 @ 0.96% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 38.92%

How you voted: Kyoto Sanga vs Nagoya Grampus

Kyoto Sanga
54.5%
Draw
36.4%
Nagoya Grampus
9.1%
11
Head to Head
May 26, 2024 7am
Gameweek 16
Nagoya Grampus
1-1
Kyoto Sanga
Shiihashi (75')
Izumi (50'), Uchida (60'), Nakayama (90+7')
Toyokawa (36')
Toyokawa (12'), Miyayoshi (67')
Jul 16, 2023 11am
Gameweek 21
Kyoto Sanga
2-1
Nagoya Grampus
Yamasaki (13'), Patric (90+2')
Kaneko (53'), Fukuoka (59'), Ota (90+5')
Izumi (62')
Inagaki (10')
Feb 25, 2023 7am
Oct 8, 2022 6am
May 3, 2022 6am
Gameweek 11
Nagoya Grampus
1-1
Kyoto Sanga
Sakai (60')
Mendes (42')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Falcons
@
Eagles
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Machida Zelvia30177646222458
2Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima301511455302556
3Vissel KobeVissel Kobe30167747281955
4Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers29147846361049
5Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka2913973223948
6Tokyo Verdy30111183941-244
7Yokohama F MarinosYokohama29125124944541
8FC Tokyo30118114142-141
9Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa2810994337639
10Albirex Niigata29109104040039
11Cerezo OsakaCerezo2991193639-338
12Avispa Fukuoka30911102833-538
13Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki29910104542337
14Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus29114143338-537
15Kyoto Sanga29107123546-1137
16Kashiwa ReysolReysol2989123444-1033
17Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare3088144046-632
18Jubilo Iwata2987143649-1331
19Consadole SapporoConsadole3067173457-2325
20Sagan Tosu3073203860-2224


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