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J1 League | Gameweek 21
Jun 30, 2024 at 11am UK
Lemon Gas Stadium Hiratsuka (Hiratsuka)

Shonan Bellmare
0 - 1
Kyoto Sanga

FT(HT: 0-1)
Hara (24')
Kawasaki (48'), Suzuki (58'), Gu (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's J1 League clash between Shonan Bellmare and Kyoto Sanga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kawasaki 1-1 Shonan Bellmare
Wednesday, June 26 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 2-2 Reysol
Wednesday, June 26 at 11am in J1 League

We said: Shonan Bellmare 1-1 Kyoto Sanga

Heading into a true six-pointer in the J1 League fight for survival, even at this relatively early stage, we anticipate a cagey encounter on Sunday and see a share of the points as the most likely outcome with both teams desperate to avoid a harmful defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shonan Bellmare win with a probability of 43.42%. A win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 29.85% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shonan Bellmare win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Kyoto Sanga win was 0-1 (9.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.

Result
Shonan BellmareDrawKyoto Sanga
43.42% (-0.056999999999995 -0.06) 26.73% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04) 29.85% (0.103 0.1)
Both teams to score 50.12% (0.183 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.36% (0.209 0.21)54.63% (-0.203 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.03% (0.173 0.17)75.97% (-0.169 -0.17)
Shonan Bellmare Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.03% (0.067000000000007 0.07)24.96% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.39% (0.086999999999996 0.09)59.61% (-0.083000000000006 -0.08)
Kyoto Sanga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.79% (0.187 0.19)33.21% (-0.183 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.18% (0.204 0.2)69.81% (-0.19900000000001 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    Shonan Bellmare 43.42%
    Kyoto Sanga 29.85%
    Draw 26.73%
Shonan BellmareDrawKyoto Sanga
1-0 @ 11.5% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-1 @ 8.8% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.98% (-0.034999999999999 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.07% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.69% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.24% (0.017 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.41% (0.006 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.28% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 43.42%
1-1 @ 12.68% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.29% (-0.066000000000001 -0.07)
2-2 @ 4.85% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 26.73%
0-1 @ 9.14% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 6.99% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 5.04% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.57% (0.023 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.85% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.78% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 29.85%

Head to Head
Mar 2, 2024 5am
Gameweek 2
Kyoto Sanga
1-2
Shonan Bellmare
Toyokawa (19')
Appiah Tawiah (10')
Tanaka (15'), Suzuki (82')
Barada (51')
Oct 21, 2023 7am
Gameweek 30
Kyoto Sanga
0-1
Shonan Bellmare

Toyokawa (44')
Ohashi (39' pen.)
Abe (44')
Mar 12, 2023 6am
Gameweek 4
Shonan Bellmare
0-2
Kyoto Sanga
Kinoshita (55'), Yamada (74')
Jun 26, 2022 10.33am
Gameweek 18
Kyoto Sanga
0-1
Shonan Bellmare

Inoue (38'), Fukuoka (56'), Taketomi (56')
Machino (87')
Ikeda (55')
Mar 12, 2022 6am
Gameweek 4
Shonan Bellmare
1-1
Kyoto Sanga
Yamamoto (37')
Takeda (90+1'), Yamasaki (90+9')
Asada (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vissel KobeVissel Kobe38219861362572
2Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima381911872432968
3Machida Zelvia381991054342066
4Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka381812849351466
5Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers381811960411965
6Tokyo Verdy381414105151056
7FC Tokyo38159145351254
8Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki381313126657952
9Yokohama F MarinosYokohama38157166162-152
10Cerezo OsakaCerezo381313124348-552
11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus38155184447-350
12Avispa Fukuoka381214123338-550
13Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa381212144945448
14Kyoto Sanga381211154355-1247
15Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare38129175358-545
16Albirex Niigata381012164459-1542
17Kashiwa ReysolReysol38914153951-1241
18Jubilo Iwata38108204768-2138
19Consadole SapporoConsadole38910194366-2337
20Sagan Tosu38105234868-2035


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