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PSV
Eredivisie | Gameweek 19
Jan 27, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Philips Stadion

PSV
2 - 0
Almere City

de Jong (45', 63' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-0)

Floranus (5'), Pena (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between PSV Eindhoven and Almere City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Feyenoord 1-0 PSV
Wednesday, January 24 at 7pm in KNVB Beker
Last Game: Almere City 0-0 Sittard
Wednesday, January 24 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: PSV Eindhoven 3-1 Almere City

In this tie, PSV are overwhelming favourites and will view it as the ideal opportunity to bounce back from their Dutch Cup defeat to Feyenoord. We expect the home side to rack up plenty of goals, but the visitors should nick one in themselves. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 81.39%. A draw had a probability of 11.6% and a win for Almere City had a probability of 7.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.39%) and 3-1 (8.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.15%), while for an Almere City win it was 1-2 (2.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
PSV EindhovenDrawAlmere City
81.39% (-0.574 -0.57) 11.6% (0.327 0.33) 7.01% (0.2431 0.24)
Both teams to score 54.34% (-0.157 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
75% (-0.779 -0.78)25% (0.776 0.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
55.08% (-1.022 -1.02)44.92% (1.02 1.02)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.39% (-0.23 -0.23)4.61% (0.228 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
81.21% (-0.71300000000001 -0.71)18.79% (0.71 0.71)
Almere City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.96% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)43.04% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.68% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)79.32% (0.022000000000006 0.02)
Score Analysis
    PSV Eindhoven 81.39%
    Almere City 7.01%
    Draw 11.6%
PSV EindhovenDrawAlmere City
3-0 @ 9.63% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
2-0 @ 9.39% (0.173 0.17)
3-1 @ 8.12% (0.012 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.92% (0.141 0.14)
4-0 @ 7.41% (-0.105 -0.11)
4-1 @ 6.25% (-0.093 -0.09)
1-0 @ 6.1% (0.211 0.21)
5-0 @ 4.56% (-0.142 -0.14)
5-1 @ 3.85% (-0.123 -0.12)
3-2 @ 3.42% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 2.63% (-0.041 -0.04)
6-0 @ 2.34% (-0.113 -0.11)
6-1 @ 1.97% (-0.097 -0.1)
5-2 @ 1.62% (-0.053 -0.05)
7-0 @ 1.03% (-0.068 -0.07)
Other @ 5.14%
Total : 81.39%
1-1 @ 5.15% (0.175 0.18)
2-2 @ 3.34% (0.058 0.06)
0-0 @ 1.98% (0.099 0.1)
3-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 11.6%
1-2 @ 2.17% (0.072 0.07)
0-1 @ 1.67% (0.083 0.08)
2-3 @ 0.94% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 7.01%

How you voted: PSV vs Almere City

PSV Eindhoven
92.9%
Draw
7.1%
Almere City
0.0%
28
Head to Head
Sep 23, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 6
Almere City
0-4
PSV

Akujobi (28')
Til (26'), Lozano (42'), Veerman (66'), Pepi (90+3')
Boscagli (77')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV16140256134342
2Ajax16113235161936
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1611323223936
4Feyenoord16105140182235
5AZ AlkmaarAZ17102531171432
6FC Twente1794432211131
7Go Ahead Eagles177463027325
8Fortuna SittardSittard166462023-322
9NAC BredaNAC Breda177191927-822
10Heerenveen176381731-1421
11Willem II165471718-119
12NECNijmegen165292220217
13PEC Zwolle174581626-1017
14Groningen164481426-1216
15Heracles163581833-1514
16Sparta RotterdamSparta162681424-1012
17Almere CityAlmere City1723121037-279
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1714121841-237


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