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Willem II
Eredivisie | Gameweek 16
Dec 17, 2023 at 11.15am UK
Yanmar Stadion
Vitesse

Almere City
5 - 0
Vitesse

Cathline (28'), Kitala (43'), Jacobs (82'), Pena (87'), Robinet (90+4' pen.)
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Almere City and Vitesse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AZ 4-1 Almere City
Saturday, December 9 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Vitesse 2-0 Heracles
Sunday, December 10 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: Almere City 1-1 Vitesse

Given the defensive records of both sides heading into this one, we expect neither of them to come away with a clean sheet. We can also see the spoils being shared at the end of the 90 minutes, with the teams having to make do with a point apiece. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 40.6%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 34.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.42%) and 0-2 (6.36%). The likeliest Almere City win was 2-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
Almere CityDrawVitesse
34.62% (3.268 3.27) 24.78% (1.619 1.62) 40.6% (-4.88 -4.88)
Both teams to score 58.25% (-4.634 -4.63)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.1% (-6.577 -6.58)44.9% (6.585 6.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.75% (-6.65 -6.65)67.26% (6.658 6.66)
Almere City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.76% (-1.223 -1.22)25.25% (1.231 1.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.01% (-1.718 -1.72)60% (1.726 1.73)
Vitesse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.92% (-4.838 -4.84)22.08% (4.844 4.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.56% (-7.888 -7.89)55.44% (7.896 7.9)
Score Analysis
    Almere City 34.62%
    Vitesse 40.6%
    Draw 24.78%
Almere CityDrawVitesse
2-1 @ 7.98% (0.573 0.57)
1-0 @ 7.68% (1.769 1.77)
2-0 @ 5.28% (1.069 1.07)
3-1 @ 3.66% (0.14 0.14)
3-2 @ 2.76% (-0.331 -0.33)
3-0 @ 2.42% (0.421 0.42)
4-1 @ 1.26% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 0.95% (-0.153 -0.15)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 34.62%
1-1 @ 11.59% (1.21 1.21)
2-2 @ 6.02% (-0.485 -0.49)
0-0 @ 5.58% (1.435 1.44)
3-3 @ 1.39% (-0.422 -0.42)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.78%
1-2 @ 8.75% (-0.373 -0.37)
0-1 @ 8.42% (1.142 1.14)
0-2 @ 6.36% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
1-3 @ 4.41% (-0.941 -0.94)
0-3 @ 3.2% (-0.548 -0.55)
2-3 @ 3.03% (-0.781 -0.78)
1-4 @ 1.66% (-0.686 -0.69)
0-4 @ 1.21% (-0.438 -0.44)
2-4 @ 1.15% (-0.531 -0.53)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 40.6%

How you voted: Almere City vs Vitesse

Almere City
26.7%
Draw
33.3%
Vitesse
40.0%
15
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV19151362184446
2Ajax19143241172445
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1912433629740
4Feyenoord19106342241836
5FC Twente19104539251434
6AZ AlkmaarAZ19104533191434
7Go Ahead Eagles199463528731
8Fortuna SittardSittard197482632-625
9NAC BredaNAC Breda1981102332-925
10Heerenveen197392135-1424
11NECNijmegen1972102825323
12Willem II196582426-223
13PEC Zwolle195591928-920
14Heracles184682134-1318
15Groningen184591528-1317
16Sparta RotterdamSparta192891628-1214
17Almere CityAlmere City1924131039-2910
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1915132044-248


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