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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 45.75%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 31.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.31%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 1-2 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Go Ahead Eagles would win this match.
Result | ||
Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | Vitesse |
45.75% ( -0.03) | 23.14% ( 0) | 31.1% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 62.83% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.66% ( -0.01) | 38.33% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.38% ( -0.01) | 60.62% ( 0.01) |
Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.86% ( -0.01) | 17.14% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.62% ( -0.02) | 47.37% ( 0.02) |
Vitesse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.83% ( 0.01) | 24.17% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.5% ( 0.01) | 58.49% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | Vitesse |
2-1 @ 9.15% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.31% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.44% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.38% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.82% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.79% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.37% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.68% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.67% ( -0) Other @ 4.14% Total : 45.75% | 1-1 @ 10.37% 2-2 @ 6.5% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.14% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.81% Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.13% | 1-2 @ 7.37% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.88% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.18% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.49% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.08% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.98% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.24% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.09% ( 0) Other @ 2.81% Total : 31.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 59 | 13 | 46 | 45 |
2 | Ajax | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 25 |
9 | Willem II | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
10 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
11 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
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