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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 47.14%. A win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 29.68% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.7%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Feyenoord in this match.
Result | ||
Feyenoord | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
47.14% ( -0.03) | 23.18% ( -0) | 29.68% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 61.79% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.66% ( 0.03) | 39.33% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.33% ( 0.03) | 61.67% ( -0.03) |
Feyenoord Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83% ( 0) | 17% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.88% ( 0) | 47.12% ( -0) |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.45% ( 0.03) | 25.55% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.58% ( 0.05) | 60.41% ( -0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Feyenoord | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
2-1 @ 9.31% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.7% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.82% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.5% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.03% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.75% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.44% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.78% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.66% ( 0) Other @ 4.16% Total : 47.14% | 1-1 @ 10.5% 2-2 @ 6.35% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.34% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.71% ( 0) Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.18% | 1-2 @ 7.17% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.93% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.04% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.26% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.89% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.84% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.11% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 2.46% Total : 29.68% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 56 | 13 | 43 | 42 |
2 | Ajax | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
10 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
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