MX23RW : Saturday, June 15 07:44:39| >> :600:2570910:2570910:
Atalanta logo
Coppa Italia | Round of 16
Jan 3, 2024 at 5pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
Sassuolo logo

Atalanta
3 - 1
Sassuolo

De Ketelaere (24', 63'), Miranchuk (71')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Boloca (90+5')
Konradsen Ceide (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Coppa Italia clash between Atalanta BC and Sassuolo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atalanta 1-0 Lecce
Saturday, December 30 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: AC Milan 1-0 Sassuolo
Saturday, December 30 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Atalanta BC 2-0 Sassuolo

Although Sassuolo's away record is fairly respectable, they now face an Atalanta side that has won six from nine on home soil in Serie A. Despite rotating their resources, the hosts should have enough nous to capitalise on their visitors' defensive deficiencies and make it through to the Coppa Italia's last eight. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 61.24%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Sassuolo had a probability of 18.61%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.95%) and 1-0 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.18%), while for a Sassuolo win it was 1-2 (5.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawSassuolo
61.24% (-1.175 -1.18) 20.15% (0.491 0.49) 18.61% (0.68 0.68)
Both teams to score 58.96% (-0.462 -0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.01% (-1.207 -1.21)36.98% (1.201 1.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.83% (-1.318 -1.32)59.17% (1.315 1.32)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.31% (-0.676 -0.68)11.68% (0.672 0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.23% (-1.466 -1.47)36.76% (1.461 1.46)
Sassuolo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.76% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)33.24% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.15% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)69.85% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 61.24%
    Sassuolo 18.61%
    Draw 20.15%
Atalanta BCDrawSassuolo
2-1 @ 9.86% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 8.95% (0.045 0.04)
1-0 @ 8.34% (0.264 0.26)
3-1 @ 7.06% (-0.16 -0.16)
3-0 @ 6.41% (-0.142 -0.14)
3-2 @ 3.89% (-0.089 -0.09)
4-1 @ 3.79% (-0.192 -0.19)
4-0 @ 3.44% (-0.174 -0.17)
4-2 @ 2.09% (-0.107 -0.11)
5-1 @ 1.63% (-0.129 -0.13)
5-0 @ 1.48% (-0.117 -0.12)
Other @ 4.33%
Total : 61.24%
1-1 @ 9.18% (0.289 0.29)
2-2 @ 5.43% (0.024 0.02)
0-0 @ 3.88% (0.224 0.22)
3-3 @ 1.43% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 20.15%
1-2 @ 5.06% (0.158 0.16)
0-1 @ 4.28% (0.245 0.25)
0-2 @ 2.36% (0.135 0.14)
2-3 @ 1.99% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.86% (0.058 0.06)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 18.61%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Sassuolo

Atalanta BC
82.7%
Draw
12.3%
Sassuolo
4.9%
81
Head to Head
Aug 20, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 1
Sassuolo
0-2
Atalanta
De Ketelaere (83'), Zortea (90+3')
Feb 4, 2023 7.45pm
Oct 15, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Atalanta
2-1
Sassuolo
Pasalic (45+1'), Lookman (46')
Kiriakopoulos (41')
Apr 10, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 32
Sassuolo
2-1
Atalanta
Traore (24', 61')
Henrique (39'), Muldur (63')
Muriel (90+3')
Zappacosta (90+2')
Sep 21, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
Atalanta
2-1
Sassuolo
Gosens (3'), Zappacosta (37')
Malinovskyi (61'), Pezzella (74')
Berardi (44')
Marco Ferrari (25'), Lopez (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Saturday, June 15
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 16
 
5pm
 
8pm
Monday, June 17
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, June 18
 
5pm
Wednesday, June 19
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Thursday, June 20
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Group Stage
Spain
vs.
Italy
Friday, June 21
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 22
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 23
 
8pm
 
8pm
Monday, June 24
 
8pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, June 25
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 29
Sunday, June 30
Monday, July 1
Tuesday, July 2
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Germany Germany11003
2 Hungary Hungary00000
3 Switzerland Switzerland00000
4 Scotland flag Scotland10010

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Albania national flag Albania00000
2 Croatia Croatia00000
3 Italy Italy00000
4 Spain Spain00000

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Denmark Denmark00000
2 England flag England00000
3 Serbia Serbia00000
4 Slovenia Slovenia00000

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Austria Austria00000
2 France France00000
3 Netherlands Netherlands00000
4 Poland Poland00000

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Belgium Belgium00000
2 Romania Romania00000
3 Slovakia Slovakia00000
4 Ukraine Ukraine00000

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Czech Republic Czech Republic00000
2 Georgia Georgia00000
3 Portugal Portugal00000
4 Turkey Turkey00000


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!