Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 67.73%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 12.35%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.05%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.42%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (4.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
Result | ||
Atalanta BC | Draw | Lecce |
67.73% ( -0.02) | 19.92% ( 0.01) | 12.35% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 44.55% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.55% ( 0.01) | 48.45% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.42% ( 0.01) | 70.58% ( -0.01) |
Atalanta BC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.68% ( -0) | 13.32% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.83% ( -0.01) | 40.17% ( 0.01) |
Lecce Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
51.39% ( 0.03) | 48.61% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.33% ( 0.02) | 83.67% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Atalanta BC | Draw | Lecce |
2-0 @ 13.15% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 13.05% 2-1 @ 9.49% ( 0) 3-0 @ 8.84% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.38% ( 0) 4-0 @ 4.46% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.22% 3-2 @ 2.3% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.8% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.3% 4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0) Other @ 2.59% Total : 67.73% | 1-1 @ 9.42% ( 0) 0-0 @ 6.47% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.42% ( 0) Other @ 0.61% Total : 19.92% | 0-1 @ 4.67% ( 0) 1-2 @ 3.4% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.68% ( 0) Other @ 2.6% Total : 12.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 50 |
2 | Inter Milan | 20 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 51 | 18 | 33 | 47 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 46 | 24 | 22 | 43 |
4 | Lazio | 21 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 37 | 28 | 9 | 39 |
5 | Juventus | 21 | 8 | 13 | 0 | 34 | 17 | 17 | 37 |
6 | Fiorentina | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 33 | 21 | 12 | 33 |
7 | Bologna | 20 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 33 |
8 | AC Milan | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 31 |
9 | Roma | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 27 |
10 | Udinese | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 26 |
11 | Torino | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 23 |
12 | Genoa | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 23 |
13 | Como | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 22 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 21 |
15 | Empoli | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 20 |
16 | Parma | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 20 |
17 | Lecce | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 36 | -21 | 20 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 21 | 6 | 1 | 14 | 24 | 47 | -23 | 19 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 15 |
20 | Monza | 21 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 31 | -11 | 13 |
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