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Potential new EL header

Europa League
Rakow
Europa League | Group Stage
Dec 14, 2023 at 8pm UK
Zaglebiowski Park Sportowy
Atalanta logo

Rakow
0 - 4
Atalanta


Tudor (75')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Muriel (14', 72'), Bonfanti (26'), De Ketelaere (90+2')
Holm (33'), Bonfanti (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Rakow Czestochowa and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rakow Czestochowa

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Jagiellonia 4-2 Rakow
Sunday, December 10 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Atalanta BC

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Atalanta 3-2 AC Milan
Saturday, December 9 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Rakow Czestochowa 2-3 Atalanta BC

 Rakow could qualify even with a low-scoring defeat, if Sturm are beaten convincingly in Lisbon, so they must ensure the game does not get away from them with the margins so tight. The personnel may change, but Gasperini's ideals will not, and despite the alterations that may come, Atalanta should still put on a show and claim the three points here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rakow Czestochowa win with a probability of 38.17%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 36.49% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rakow Czestochowa win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.14%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 0-1 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
Rakow CzestochowaDrawAtalanta BC
38.17% (0.07 0.07) 25.33% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 36.49% (-0.067 -0.07)
Both teams to score 56.56% (0.012 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.8% (0.017000000000003 0.02)47.19% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.57% (0.016000000000002 0.02)69.43% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Rakow Czestochowa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.66% (0.043000000000006 0.04)24.33% (-0.044 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.27% (0.063000000000002 0.06)58.73% (-0.064 -0.06)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.75% (-0.029000000000011 -0.03)25.25% (0.029 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.99% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)60% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Rakow Czestochowa 38.17%
    Atalanta BC 36.49%
    Draw 25.33%
Rakow CzestochowaDrawAtalanta BC
1-0 @ 8.68% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-1 @ 8.45% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.14% (0.011 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.98% (0.01 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.89% (0.01 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.74% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.41% (0.006 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.02% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 0.97% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 38.17%
1-1 @ 11.95%
0-0 @ 6.15% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-2 @ 5.81% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 1.26% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.33%
0-1 @ 8.46% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.23% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.82% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.77% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.67% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.67% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.3% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 0.92% (-0.003 -0)
2-4 @ 0.92% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 36.49%

How you voted: Rakow vs Atalanta

Rakow Czestochowa
17.9%
Draw
14.3%
Atalanta BC
67.9%
84
Head to Head
Sep 21, 2023 8pm
Group Stage
Atalanta
2-0
Rakow
De Ketelaere (49'), Ederson (66')
de Roon (32')
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