MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 13:36:05| >> :300:86500:86500:
Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 18
Dec 10, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
Stadion Miejski
Rakow

Jagiellonia
4 - 2
Rakow

Naranjo (12', 33'), Nene (46', 63')
Romanczuk (56'), Naranjo (74'), Pululu (90')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Svarnas (22'), Zwolinski (86')
Berggren (52')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Jagiellonia Bialystok and Rakow Czestochowa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Warta Poznan 1-2 Jagiellonia
Friday, December 1 at 5pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Slask Wroclaw 1-1 Rakow
Sunday, December 3 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 41.38%. A win for Rakow Czestochowa had a probability of 31.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Rakow Czestochowa win was 0-1 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jagiellonia Bialystok would win this match.

Result
Jagiellonia BialystokDrawRakow Czestochowa
41.38% (-0.184 -0.18) 26.73% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1) 31.89% (0.277 0.28)
Both teams to score 50.97% (0.406 0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.06% (0.469 0.47)53.94% (-0.474 -0.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.61% (0.393 0.39)75.39% (-0.39699999999999 -0.4)
Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.3% (0.11799999999999 0.12)25.7% (-0.122 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.38% (0.16 0.16)60.62% (-0.163 -0.16)
Rakow Czestochowa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.61% (0.434 0.43)31.39% (-0.439 -0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.23% (0.499 0.5)67.76% (-0.503 -0.5)
Score Analysis
    Jagiellonia Bialystok 41.37%
    Rakow Czestochowa 31.89%
    Draw 26.73%
Jagiellonia BialystokDrawRakow Czestochowa
1-0 @ 10.96% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-1 @ 8.63% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 7.45% (-0.087000000000001 -0.09)
3-1 @ 3.91% (0.015 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.37% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.26% (0.035 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.33% (0.01 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.15% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 41.37%
1-1 @ 12.7% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 8.07% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-2 @ 5% (0.062 0.06)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.73%
0-1 @ 9.35% (-0.061 -0.06)
1-2 @ 7.36% (0.065 0.07)
0-2 @ 5.42% (0.029 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.84% (0.059 0.06)
0-3 @ 2.09% (0.036 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.93% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 31.89%

Head to Head
Jul 22, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 1
Rakow
3-0
Jagiellonia
Zwolinski (45+2', 63' pen.), Nowak (65')

Pululu (9'), Nastic (10'), Imaz Balleste (30'), Nene (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Lech Poznan14101325101531
2Jagiellonia BialystokJagiellonia1410132619731
3Rakow CzestochowaRakow149321741330
4KS CracoviaCracovia1492330201029
5Legia WarsawLegia1474326141225
6Pogon SzczecinSzczecin147162119222
7Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice145541614220
8Widzew Lodz145451819-119
9Gornik ZabrzeGornik145361817118
10Zaglebie Lubin145361419-518
11Motor Lublin145361925-618
12Katowice144462019116
13Korona Kielce144371222-1015
14Radomiak Radom134181821-313
15Stal Mielec143381219-712
16Puszcza Niepolomice142571323-1011
17Lechia GdanskGdansk142481728-1110
18Slask Wroclaw131661121-109


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